Prato vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
4 - 3
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
ACP
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 2
GRO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 3
ACP
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
NOV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 0
PAV
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
FIA
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 2
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
REG
0 - 2
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |