Prato vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
ACP
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
USC
2 - 1
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACP
1 - 1
ACI
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
FRO
3 - 1
ACP
70%
18%
11%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
SAS
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 1
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
GRO
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 0
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |