Prato vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 2
ACP
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ACP
1 - 1
USR
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 0
ACP
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 3
ACS
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 0
ACP
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -4 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 1
ACS
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ACA
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 3
MPO
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SGP
1 - 1
ACA
8%
14%
79%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 0
TUT
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |