Pavia vs Vittoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PRO
3 - 3
PAV
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 4
PIS
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COM
0 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
PAV
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 2
NOV
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 0
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
FRO
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 1
ASL
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
15%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |