Pavia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FER
4 - 2
PAV
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VNZ
2 - 2
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAV
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 0
FCS
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 0
FCS
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ABN
3 - 1
ACD
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ACD
4 - 5
ACL
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
VNZ
0 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |