Pavia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
31%
25%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACL
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
PAV
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 2
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
USF
1 - 2
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 2
TRA
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ABN
3 - 1
ACD
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
4 - 1
TRE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 3
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ACD
2 - 3
VER
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |