Pavia vs Villacidrese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAV
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
PAV
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 1
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villacidrese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLB
2 - 0
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
ACR
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 2
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |