Pavia vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 0
PAV
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 1
SAV
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAV
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 3
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VNZ
2 - 1
VIC
29%
27%
45%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 1
VNZ
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VNZ
5 - 3
ACL
31%
27%
43%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 2
VNZ
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |