Pavia vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAV
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASS
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAV
0 - 1
GRO
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
USI
2 - 1
PAV
38%
28%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PAV
3 - 2
PAD
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
VNZ
34%
31%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACS
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VNZ
2 - 2
MAS
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
PAD
1 - 0
VNZ
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
USI
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |