Pavia vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAV
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 2
PAV
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAV
2 - 1
USI
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 1
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SAS
1 - 1
CTT
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
USI
0 - 0
SAS
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 0
PIS
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAS
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAS
3 - 2
USC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |