Pavia vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 1
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACM
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
PAV
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 1
ACS
48%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
USI
2 - 1
PAV
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 0
LEO
47%
27%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 3
ACS
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
LEO
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |