Pavia vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
USI
2 - 1
PAV
38%
28%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PAV
3 - 2
PAD
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAV
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 1
PIS
51%
28%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 0
PAV
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 0
PIS
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
GRO
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 1
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
USC
1 - 1
GRO
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 0
USI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |