Pavia vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAV
2 - 3
AVE
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
PAV
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 2
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USF
3 - 1
TER
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACL
2 - 0
USF
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
SOR
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
USF
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USF
0 - 1
TAR
44%
28%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |