Pavia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAV
81%
13%
5%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 2
CUN
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 0
PAV
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAV
2 - 1
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAV
54%
25%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
USC
3 - 1
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
USC
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
USC
1 - 1
ACD
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
USC
24%
27%
50%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
USC
2 - 0
CUN
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |