Pavia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
PAV
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACP
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAV
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 2
FRO
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
2 - 2
PAV
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
USC
2 - 0
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
USC
1 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 0
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
USC
2 - 2
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |