Pavia vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ASG
1 - 0
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SOR
0 - 0
PAV
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
PAV
62%
24%
14%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
RAV
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
USA
3 - 1
SAL
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
USA
0 - 1
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
RAV
0 - 1
USA
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VER
2 - 0
USA
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |