Pavia vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAV
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 0
FAN
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 0
PAV
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PAV
0 - 1
COM
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
PRO
2 - 3
PAV
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
USA
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |