Pavia vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
PAV
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAV
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
31%
25%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
FCS
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
USC
2 - 0
TRE
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
POR
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 0
TRE
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | -1 |