Pavia vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 0
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAT
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
3 - 2
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
PAD
5 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
ATP
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
BRE
2 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
TRE
1 - 1
PAD
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 1
TRE
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |