Pavia vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PAV
9%
15%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 5
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
PAV
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
PAV
14%
18%
69%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 0
SER
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |