Pavia vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 1
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USC
1 - 0
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAV
69%
21%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 4
PAV
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 0
USP
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 5
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASS
51%
25%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
VNZ
1 - 2
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |