Pavia vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 1
PAV
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAV
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
PAV
5 - 1
TRE
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 0
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAT
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
TRE
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
0 - 2
PRO
43%
24%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRO
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |