Pavia vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 0
VNZ
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAV
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASS
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
ACS
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PIS
4 - 0
MAS
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
PIS
49%
28%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
VNZ
34%
31%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GRO
3 - 0
PIS
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |