Pavia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
TAR
1 - 0
PAV
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
SAL
4 - 3
PAV
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 1
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
PAV
1 - 1
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAV
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
VER
2 - 2
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
UNI
3 - 1
PAR
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
COM
1 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |