Pavia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
FAN
4 - 0
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
ATP
64%
20%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
PAV
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 2
PRO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 1
PAV
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
MOD
4 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |