Pavia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
PAD
5 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASS
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
VER
5 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
MES
0 - 1
VIC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MES
0 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |