Pavia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAV
56%
26%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
PRO
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
USC
1 - 1
PAV
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAV
0 - 2
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIZ
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 2
ASL
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 0
ASL
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |