Pavia vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAV
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 0
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
INV
1 - 0
BOR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 0
INV
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
INV
1 - 1
DER
80%
13%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 0
INV
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
INV
0 - 1
COM
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |