Pavia vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
2 - 2
PAV
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 0
ACI
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 2
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACL
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ACS
2 - 1
PAV
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FRO
3 - 2
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 2
FRO
29%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 0
PIS
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
FRO
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 0
PIS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |