Pavia vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 2
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
REG
0 - 2
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
RIM
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FIA
1 - 0
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 0
FIA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
FIA
4 - 3
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
AVE
2 - 2
FIA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FIA
2 - 0
CAT
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |