Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAV
72%
18%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIS
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 1
PAV
51%
27%
23%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
TER
22%
29%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
ASS
51%
25%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
TAR
30%
31%
39%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AVE
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |