Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAV
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 1
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 1
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 1
SPE
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAV
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 2
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
USC
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
COM
46%
29%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
COM
1 - 2
ACS
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 1
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |