Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
PRO
2 - 3
PAV
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
PAV
0 - 1
VIC
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAV
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
PAV
0 - 1
DER
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
COM
4 - 0
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
COM
2 - 0
ATP
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
FIO
2 - 0
COM
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
COM
4 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
COM
2 - 0
TRI
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |