Pavia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
PAV
3 - 2
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
PAD
5 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAV
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASS
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 1
VER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 1
TRE
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 1
VIC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MES
0 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
4 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |