Pavia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
43%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAV
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
31%
25%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACL
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
PAV
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABN
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
CAR
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
USC
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
REG
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |