Pavia vs Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
PAV
16%
19%
66%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAV
23%
23%
53%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
PAV
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 2
CLA
90%
8%
3%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
REG
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CLA
2 - 2
CAL
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
FIO
43%
23%
33%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FAN
3 - 2
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
CRE
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |