Pavia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAV
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAV
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 0
USA
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 0
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAV
70%
17%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
UNI
3 - 1
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
COM
1 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
PAD
3 - 0
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
PAD
1 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |