Pavia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
USA
2 - 0
PAV
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 2
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 1
MES
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
ACM
7 - 1
PAV
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1955 |
BRE
4 - 0
PAV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 1
TAR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAL
3 - 3
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |