Pavia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 1
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 0
SAL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAV
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
FAN
1 - 0
CAG
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
CAG
3 - 1
MOD
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 0
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAG
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
CAG
3 - 0
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |