Pavia vs Borgosesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
1 - 1
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
PAV
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 2
PRO
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PAV
7%
18%
75%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 0
VAR
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 0
DER
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 2
BOR
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 1
COM
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
BOR
36%
28%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
51%
25%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |