Pavia vs Borgaro Nobis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAV
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
1 - 1
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 2
BOR
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
COM
10%
19%
71%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 3
BOR
77%
14%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |