Pavia vs Atlético de Piombino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
COM
2 - 0
PAV
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 2
PRO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 1
PAV
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
PAV
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
PAV
5 - 1
TRE
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético de Piombino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 1
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ACM
2 - 1
ATP
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 0
COM
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 0
ATP
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAD
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |