Pavia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAG
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 1
PAV
71%
20%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 3
PAV
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 1
FCS
58%
24%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FSD
1 - 3
PAV
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TER
3 - 1
SPE
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FER
2 - 2
SPE
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
POL
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |