Pavia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAV
3 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAV
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAV
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 2
ACR
70%
19%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPE
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
OLB
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 1
SPE
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
4 - 0
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |