Pavia vs OltrepòVoghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAV
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 0
CHI
26%
24%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 2
PAV
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PAV
9%
15%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASD
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASD
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
COM
11%
20%
69%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |