Pavia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 2
PAV
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 1
USC
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PAV
2 - 1
ACS
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 0
USI
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
CTT
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 0
VNZ
39%
28%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 2
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |