Pavia vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 2
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACL
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ACS
2 - 1
PAV
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PAV
4 - 3
PRO
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 1
SPE
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 0
ACI
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
VIT
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACI
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |