Pavia vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PRO
3 - 3
PAV
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 4
PIS
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COM
0 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
PAV
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 2
ACS
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 0
SAS
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
ACS
45%
28%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 0
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |