Pavia vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
PAV
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 1
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACM
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
PAV
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACS
0 - 0
ACR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
SPE
21%
24%
56%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
ACS
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 1
FSD
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 3
ACS
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |