Pavia vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PAV
7%
18%
75%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 0
VAR
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 1
OLG
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PAV
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
BOR
36%
28%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 4
PRO
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 3
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
DER
75%
16%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |